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Interplay between savings and human capital development in a natural resource-rich developing country: ARDL approach

This paper carries out an empirical examination of the interplay between savings and human capital development in Nigeria (natural resource rich-country) for the years 1981-2022. The relationships of interest were estimated by employing several methods. Using Ordinary Least Squares, the results show that by types of natural resources, oil rent contributes more to savings in Nigeria but the joint (total) natural resources rents impact on savings was found to be statistically insignificant in both short and long run using auto-regression distributed lag (ARDL). Nonetheless, gross savings lagged (one year period) affects savings in Nigeria negatively. Invariably, the savings must have come from non-oil sectors with less revenue. The ARDL short-run dynamic analysis of the impact of savings on human capital development in Nigeria reveals that gross saving two lag period (two-year period) has impacted positively on human capital development, although its value is <1, i.e., savings in Nigeria has grossly underperformed relative to her enormous resource endowment.