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Dynamics of the non-performing loans in Azerbaijan: Empirical analysis

Bank loans are the primary source of financing for businesses in the countries with non-developed financial markets like Azerbaijan. Thus, analysis of the dynamics of non-performing loans has uttermost importance in preventing banking crises in recession scenarios. This study aims to analyze the dynamics of non-performing loans in Azerbaijan. Employing three different estimation methods (FMOLS, DOLS and CCR), the study reveals a significant negative link between non-performing loan rates and macroeconomic factors like inflation and interest rates. There is no statistically significant relationship between non-performing loan rates and real GDP growth in Azerbaijan. The lack of a statistical database on government support to the financing of businesses is a restriction of research. As a policy recommendation, it is proposed that government should improve regulations on collateralization of loans and banks' loan policies. This study's theoretical and methodological results can serve as a scientific source for further research and can be used in the monetary policy decision-making process.


Citation: 

Seyfullali, J. (2022). Dynamics of the non-performing loans in Azerbaijan: Empirical analysis. ASERC Journal of Socio-Economic Studies, 5(1), 79-88. DOI:10.30546/2663-7251.2022.5.1.79